Monday, December 20, 2010

2011 Predictions

Yes, this time of year again, prepare for the flood forecast year-end market. During the past year I have put what the five biggest obstacles to green tech in 2010, this year, Jeff San Juan predictions for 9 (plus 1 can be added), what the Greentech sector look 2011th For the full article for GigaOM Pro (subscription required):
1. OPI continue the success or failure of Greentech well-financed start-ups. Many new companies have received millions of dollars in investments Greentech are now facing the moment of truth: it's worth show investors, or otherwise.
2. Solar energy is lower prices, both through growth and necessity. iSuppli forecasts that solar panel prices down 5 percent, and the total cost of solar project that nearly 10 percent next year.
3. Biofuels continue to struggle to achieve profitability and scale. 'Nuff said. 2010 was a difficult year for biofuels that things get worse in 2011.
4. Utilities spend money to continue to promote the introduction of intelligent networks, but adapted to customer requirements and setback. Utilities learn - albeit slowly - some of the obstacles for the year 2010 for consumer adoption of smart meters.
5. Electric vehicles will finally have the opportunity to prove or disprove its appeal to the mass market. 2010, the volume has been seen to be like two masses plug-in cars (Nissan and GM Volt LEAF) and later in the year 2011, we received the first indications of the popularity of these vehicles will see the opening.
6. Greentech Venture capital investments are focused on software, services and supporting technologies. Apparently, investors are adjusting their views on the smaller, nimble technology players that can provide improvement of existing processes (see the energy!), But from clean energy projects in the capital-intensive.
7. Server architecture of data centers and the knowledge of the energy gain in importance. Data centers continue to grow, and to reduce their energy needs in the short term. Now that some "early adopters" companies (Google, Yahoo) have paved the way, expect that the technology for energy efficiency in data centers becoming the norm.
8. The new models are all funded by the solar cells and energy efficiency. Improving the energy efficiency of charging electric vehicles for energy storage in the secondary market, find new ways to finance green technology.
9. China will continue to march toward domination Greentech. Green Tech High on the list of predictions is, of course, China. The country is the world leader in public investment and Greentech is dominant in the markets for utility-scale solar-electric-scooter (EV and one day).
10. solar (courtesy of me) from California to finally begin the construction of utility. Now that the BLM and the energy regulators in California have finally begun to approve large-scale solar projects in the desert of California, these projects can finally start to go under construction. This was a period of three years.

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